| The Original Profit-Taker |
| The Greatest Game on Earth or "Why should the billionaires have all the fun?"TM The ‘Game' in a nutshell Professor Smarba supplies ‘the team’. The stock market supplies the action. The experience empowers you. ___________________________________________________________________________ #1 'LIVE' Choice for October 2009 (First posted on Mon., October 5, 2009. Based on closing prices of Fri., October 2, 2009.) #2 Team - US Airways Group, 7.25 of 2014 US Airways scores final goal (106% profit) on the upside |
Update - February 16, 2010
FINAL SCORE - TOTAL ANNUALIZED
'LOCKED-IN' PROFIT: 106%
(Based on our game investment of $15,000 plus a conservative 50% margin of $15,000)
#2 Team of US Airways scored its fifth and final goal on the upside for a total annualized
profit of 106%. .
The total profit of Team #1 is 102% annually. The accumulated interest on the bond is not
included in the calculation.
Gamers! Let's fly it again.
O.K. partner, then what's our final step?
(Scroll down this page to 'The Profit-Taker Game Plan')
Place 3 orders with your broker.
One on the immediate upside. Another on the immediate downside.
They are:
1. Cancel all previous orders.
2..Cover (buy-in) all 5689 shares of US Airways Group at $6.89.
3. Sell all 26 bonds at the market price of $1704..
________________________________________________________________________
In a Nutshell
________________________________________________________________________
2009 Orders Filled Profit (Loss)
________________________________________________________________________
October 5 26 bonds at $1159.40 each
2845 common shares sold short at $4.31
(Based on our game investment of $15,000 plus an additional conservative 50% margin of
$15,000)
________________________________________________________________________
November 2 948 shares covered ('bought- in') at $2.88.
(Locked-in profit) $1355.64
____________________________________________________________________
December 4 948 shares sold short at $4.31
(Realized profit $1355.64)
____________________________________________________________________
December 22 948 shares sold short at $5.17
(Locked-in profit) $815.28
____________________________________________________________________
2010
____________________________________________________________________
February 11 948 shares sold short at $6.03
(Locked-in profit) $1630.56
____________________________________________________________________
February 16 948 shares sold short at $6.89
(Locked-in profit) $2445.84
____________________________________________________________________
February 16 26 bonds sold at market price of $1704
5689 common shares sold short at final price of $6.69
____________________________________________________________________
FINAL SCORE
TOTAL ANNUALIZED
'LOCKED-IN' PROFIT: 106%
(Based on our game investment of $15,000 plus a conservative 50% margin of $15,000)
______________________________________________________________________________
THE PROFIT-TAKER GAME PLAN:
US Airways
Common
Stock Price ($)
*6.89 Long-term Goal (Uptrend)
6.03 Sub Goal 2 (Uptrend)
5.17 Sub Goal 1 (Uptrend)
4.31 Initial Purchase Price
2.88 Sub Goal 1 (Downtrend)
1.45 Sub Goal 2 (Downtrend)
0 Long-term Goal (Downtrend)
*Underlined blue is price of last 'filled' trade.
Gamers! To verify current price, click here.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Please Note Well:
In the beginning on October 5, 2009...
We bought 26 bonds. CALCULATION: $30,000 ($15,000 of which is margin)divided by
$1159.40 (price of a convertible bond) = 26 bonds.
Total investment = $30144.44
We start our plan as a half-hedge. That is, we sell short half the shares represented by our
26 bonds which equals a total of 2845 shares sold short.
CALCULATION: 26 bonds x 218.818 shares per bond = 5689 shares. So a half-hedge is ½
of 5689 or 2845 shares sold short.
Always sell short 948 shares on each move to an upside sub goal. That is, 2845 shares
sold short, divided by the 3 upside sub goals = 948.
Always cover ('buy in') 948 shares on each move to a downside goal. That is, 2845 shares
sold short divided by the 3 downside sub goals = 948.
________________________________________________________________________
CONVERTIBLE BOND FACTS:
US Airways Group, 7.25 of 2014
CONVERTIBLE PRICE : 115.94% or $1159.40
NUMBER OF SHARES: 218.818 per bond
CONVERSION VALUE : 94.31% or $943.10
PREMIUM : 23%
TERM CHANGE: 0
MATURITY: May 15, 2014
EXCHANGE: OVER-THE-COUNTER
CURRENT YIELD : 6.25 %
ISSUE SIZE: $ 150 MILLION
INTEREST PAYMENT DATES: May 15 and Nov. 15
CALL PRICE: No call price
________________________________________________________________________
_
UNDERLYING COMMON STOCK FACTS:
US Airways
PRICE: $4.31
HI (52 WEEKS): $11.24
LO (52 WEEKS): $1.88
VOLATILITY (%) (52 WEEKS): 217%
HI (LAST 3 MONTHS): $5.23
LO (LAST 3 MONTHS): $2.05
VOLATILITY (%) (LAST 3 MONTHS): 74%
HI (PREVIOUS 10 DAYS): $5.08
LO (PREVIOUS 10 DAYS): $4.15
VOLATILITY (%) (PREVIOUS 10 DAYS): 21.58%
EXCHANGE: New York
MARKET CAPITAL: 309.7 million
DIVIDEND: NIL
SYMBOL: LCC
________________________________________________________________________
_
FINAL SCORE - TOTAL ANNUALIZED
'LOCKED-IN' PROFIT: 106%
(Based on our game investment of $15,000 plus a conservative 50% margin of $15,000)
#2 Team of US Airways scored its fifth and final goal on the upside for a total annualized
profit of 106%. .
The total profit of Team #1 is 102% annually. The accumulated interest on the bond is not
included in the calculation.
Gamers! Let's fly it again.
O.K. partner, then what's our final step?
(Scroll down this page to 'The Profit-Taker Game Plan')
Place 3 orders with your broker.
One on the immediate upside. Another on the immediate downside.
They are:
1. Cancel all previous orders.
2..Cover (buy-in) all 5689 shares of US Airways Group at $6.89.
3. Sell all 26 bonds at the market price of $1704..
________________________________________________________________________
In a Nutshell
________________________________________________________________________
2009 Orders Filled Profit (Loss)
________________________________________________________________________
October 5 26 bonds at $1159.40 each
2845 common shares sold short at $4.31
(Based on our game investment of $15,000 plus an additional conservative 50% margin of
$15,000)
________________________________________________________________________
November 2 948 shares covered ('bought- in') at $2.88.
(Locked-in profit) $1355.64
____________________________________________________________________
December 4 948 shares sold short at $4.31
(Realized profit $1355.64)
____________________________________________________________________
December 22 948 shares sold short at $5.17
(Locked-in profit) $815.28
____________________________________________________________________
2010
____________________________________________________________________
February 11 948 shares sold short at $6.03
(Locked-in profit) $1630.56
____________________________________________________________________
February 16 948 shares sold short at $6.89
(Locked-in profit) $2445.84
____________________________________________________________________
February 16 26 bonds sold at market price of $1704
5689 common shares sold short at final price of $6.69
____________________________________________________________________
FINAL SCORE
TOTAL ANNUALIZED
'LOCKED-IN' PROFIT: 106%
(Based on our game investment of $15,000 plus a conservative 50% margin of $15,000)
______________________________________________________________________________
THE PROFIT-TAKER GAME PLAN:
US Airways
Common
Stock Price ($)
*6.89 Long-term Goal (Uptrend)
6.03 Sub Goal 2 (Uptrend)
5.17 Sub Goal 1 (Uptrend)
4.31 Initial Purchase Price
2.88 Sub Goal 1 (Downtrend)
1.45 Sub Goal 2 (Downtrend)
0 Long-term Goal (Downtrend)
*Underlined blue is price of last 'filled' trade.
Gamers! To verify current price, click here.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Please Note Well:
In the beginning on October 5, 2009...
We bought 26 bonds. CALCULATION: $30,000 ($15,000 of which is margin)divided by
$1159.40 (price of a convertible bond) = 26 bonds.
Total investment = $30144.44
We start our plan as a half-hedge. That is, we sell short half the shares represented by our
26 bonds which equals a total of 2845 shares sold short.
CALCULATION: 26 bonds x 218.818 shares per bond = 5689 shares. So a half-hedge is ½
of 5689 or 2845 shares sold short.
Always sell short 948 shares on each move to an upside sub goal. That is, 2845 shares
sold short, divided by the 3 upside sub goals = 948.
Always cover ('buy in') 948 shares on each move to a downside goal. That is, 2845 shares
sold short divided by the 3 downside sub goals = 948.
________________________________________________________________________
CONVERTIBLE BOND FACTS:
US Airways Group, 7.25 of 2014
CONVERTIBLE PRICE : 115.94% or $1159.40
NUMBER OF SHARES: 218.818 per bond
CONVERSION VALUE : 94.31% or $943.10
PREMIUM : 23%
TERM CHANGE: 0
MATURITY: May 15, 2014
EXCHANGE: OVER-THE-COUNTER
CURRENT YIELD : 6.25 %
ISSUE SIZE: $ 150 MILLION
INTEREST PAYMENT DATES: May 15 and Nov. 15
CALL PRICE: No call price
________________________________________________________________________
_
UNDERLYING COMMON STOCK FACTS:
US Airways
PRICE: $4.31
HI (52 WEEKS): $11.24
LO (52 WEEKS): $1.88
VOLATILITY (%) (52 WEEKS): 217%
HI (LAST 3 MONTHS): $5.23
LO (LAST 3 MONTHS): $2.05
VOLATILITY (%) (LAST 3 MONTHS): 74%
HI (PREVIOUS 10 DAYS): $5.08
LO (PREVIOUS 10 DAYS): $4.15
VOLATILITY (%) (PREVIOUS 10 DAYS): 21.58%
EXCHANGE: New York
MARKET CAPITAL: 309.7 million
DIVIDEND: NIL
SYMBOL: LCC
________________________________________________________________________
_
NATURE OF BUSINESS
The U.S. Department of Transportation's Air Travel Consumer Report names US Airways as
America's number one on-time airline in 2008.
Among the 'Big Six' airlines US Airways, including US Airways Shuttle and US Airways Express,
operates more than 3,200 flights per day.
Combined they serve 200 communities in the U.S., Canada, Europe, the Caribbean and Latin
America
Company Official Website: www.usairways.com
The U.S. Department of Transportation's Air Travel Consumer Report names US Airways as
America's number one on-time airline in 2008.
Among the 'Big Six' airlines US Airways, including US Airways Shuttle and US Airways Express,
operates more than 3,200 flights per day.
Combined they serve 200 communities in the U.S., Canada, Europe, the Caribbean and Latin
America
Company Official Website: www.usairways.com
NOTIFICATION
The Profit-Taker Copyright 1978, 1980,1986, 2009
All rights reserved
Permission granted for personal and educational use only. .
Any unauthorized fund management and/or investment newsletter advice
or advisory service utilizing this intellectual property/concept as their own
will constitute an infringement of this copyright.
All rights are reserved to take any action available to recoup all resulting
financial proceeds and damages therefrom awarded by the appropriate
court in breach of this copyright.
DISCLAIMER
This game or website is not an endorsement of any security.
Information contained in this Website and attachments is of a general
nature only and is not intended to constitute advice for any specific
situation. The terms of referral bonuses may vary and are only applicable
in the states and provinces for which they are approved. Advice from a
suitably qualified professional should always be sought in relation to any
particular matter or circumstance.
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